• Rationale: Zavateri fits many of your criteria — progressive 2yo with upward form, backed by tipsters, entering a high-profile race where the step-up looks logical. Previews consistently tip him as one of the leading chances.
• Likely SP / odds range: I’d expect the market to price him in the region of 2/1 to 5/2 (roughly 2.00–2.50 in decimal).
1. Class escalation & stronger rivals — in a Group 1, rivals may have a class edge or more experience.
2. Ground / pace scenario — if the ground is off or the pace is slow, he may struggle.
3. Trip, draw or traffic issues — as a 2yo in a big field, may get boxed or fail to get a clear run.
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